Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.792227 6.526036 7.329128 8.275249 9.361875 10.573710 12.031540
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.641834 5.586354 6.699930 8.116995 9.882590 12.023283 14.835487
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.967302 5.014368 6.319625 8.081047 10.418403 13.444912 17.711490
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.470622 4.561401 5.983357 7.996027 10.808895 14.656408 20.414441
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.237730 4.405941 5.991043 8.333594 11.766470 16.706435 24.525713
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.945334 4.126771 5.784857 8.326966 12.207230 18.042526 27.745724
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.686339 3.862155 5.562479 8.256376 12.522184 19.199664 30.818422
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.362073 3.468278 5.107708 7.776584 12.134005 19.188266 31.943548
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.209122 3.315604 4.998026 7.816120 12.568467 20.543022 35.571182
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.125081 3.259577 5.029163 8.079156 13.393224 22.641563 40.826216
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.026075 3.169870 4.996037 8.227344 14.030084 24.478463 45.861259
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.925385 3.068068 4.932377 8.313134 14.559228 26.174190 50.870594
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.820245 2.953621 4.842896 8.353885 15.028351 27.851028 56.199819
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.683415 2.775048 4.629168 8.149672 15.012873 28.585392 59.659072
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.585826 2.656108 4.508739 8.104066 15.295769 29.947584 64.729711
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.491218 2.534972 4.373960 8.016744 15.482522 31.128992 69.583912
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.464979 2.533568 4.455475 8.354843 16.577913 34.397902 80.046979
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.394114 2.445326 4.368322 8.348097 16.942650 36.097538 86.915594
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.320981 2.347569 4.255323 8.277283 17.158594 37.482925 93.228057
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.204405 2.160485 3.957330 7.796117 16.410158 36.504042 92.970747
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.157338 2.102945 3.907945 7.835765 16.848687 38.443592 101.236559
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.137969 2.097432 3.960755 8.099550 17.837369 41.884424 114.576613
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.107209 2.067312 3.961391 8.248162 18.568889 44.777110 126.924479